Thursday, June 21, 2007

Apoligies for my absence: I've had ... difficulties.

This is the text of a talk I am delivering this evening, 21st June 2007.

Murder rates

Brit natives/non-Brits

In Britain

The idea for this talk, and the basic numbers, were given to me by a man on the internet who uses the screen-name “alanorei”. Thank you alan.

Let’s take a look at some of the murders in this country for the two and a half years from January 2005 up until two weeks ago when PC Henry was murdered in Luton (by an illegal immigrant from Nigeria).

It must first be said that the majority of murders in Britain are of non-Brits by non-Brits, and of Brits by Brits. Apart from the sheer rate at which non-Brits are murdering each other compared to their overall numbers, these two sets of figures are uncontroversial. Throughout human history people have murdered each other. We can make an issue about the prevalence of gun crime these days, or about how murder numbers have climbed since the death penalty was abolished, but on the whole these are murders that are entirely independent of the issue of immigration – the Brit/Brit murders would have happened anyway, and what non-Brits do to each other is no concern of ours other than how it impinges on our sense of personal security, and breaks our law, and so need not concern us in this particular exercise.

What we’re looking at here is the murder of native Brits by non-Brits, and non-Brits by native Brits. These are murders that need not happen or have happened. Entirely avoidable.

By non-Brits I mean all of those people who either came here from abroad themselves or are descended from such people. I go back two generations, or 60 years, in this definition. 60 years ago is when immigration in large numbers started. Now it must be conceded that the vast majority of these people are well-behaved, law-abiding people who just want to get on with their – now vastly improved – lives. We have to concede that because it’s a fact; but there’s a good question attached to that fact: when they turn up on our border, how do we tell which are the well-behaved ones, and why should we take an unneccessary chance with any of them? What’s also a fact is that their psychology developed in different cultures, and is therefore very different from ours. What is common-sense to them may be outrageous to us, and vice-versa. By way of example let’s take a look at Somalia: Somalia has been an anarchic country riven by lethal, armed, violence for over thirty years. Most of the Somali immigrants we are getting into this country grew up in that violence. While growing up, it became common-sense to them that if you were challenged by anyone, it would probably enhance your chances of survival if you just pulled out a gun and blew the challengers away. That’s just a fact of Somali life for the past thirty years, and is now deeply embedded in their psychology; or common sense, if you like. But when they come here, they don’t leave their psychology behind and pick up a new, British, psychology when they arrive on our shores. This is the same for anyone from anywhere. They bring their old psychology with them. And so we end up with policewomen, who have challenged a gang of armed Somalis getting murdered and seriously injured in Leeds/Bradford.

If a culture is particularly murderously inclined, then the people who are born into and grow up in that culture are themselves likely to be murderously inclined; certainly more so than if they had grown up in a peacefully inclined culture. The reasons for the murderous inclinations of a culture are irrelevant.

What we’re going to look at here tonight are the totally unneccessary losses of life - murders: the murders of native Brits by non-Brits, and of non-Brits by native Brits. These are murders that would never have happened to our people and theirs had the non-Brits just stayed where they came from. We are also going to look at the rate at which they are murdering us, and thus by implication the rate at which we are murdering them as compared to our relative numbers in the overall population of our country. Are we murdering them disproportionately, or are they murdering us disproportionately. Disproportionately to our numbers relative to each other that is.

Some of the numbers I’m about to use are exact, and one is – necessarily – an approximation; but a fairly accurate approximation. Any error in the approximation is on the side of caution and favours the non-Brit population. I will demonstrate later why this approximation favours non-Brits

First the approximation:

The population of Britain comprises 86% native Brits, and 14% non-Brits (defined earlier). That means that for every one non-Brit of all kinds in Britain there are six native Brits. It follows from that, that if immigrants and Brits are murdering each other at equal rates, then for every one murder of a Brit by an immigrant there should be six murders of immigrants by Brits. That would make us equally lethal towards each other.

Is this what the numbers say? Hardly.

For the two and a half years from January 2005 up until the beginning of this month, June 2007, exactly 8 non-Brits of all kinds have been murdered by native Brits. So to be approximately equal in our rates of murdering each other, just one – or perhaps two – native Brits should have been murdered by non-Brits. What is the actual number of native Brits murdered by non-Brits in this time: one? two? Well no actually, it’s 123.

If we look at it the other way around: as 123 native Brits have been murdered by non-Brits in that two and a half years, then to maintain proportionality in our rates of murdering each other, according to our numbers in the population, we should have murdered 123 (murder of Brits by non-Brits) x 6 (number of times by which Brits outnumber non-Brits in the population) = 738 non-Brits.

Instead : 8.

What we can use these numbers for is as a measure of the murderous inclination of one culture against the aggregate of all the other cultures in our wonderfully culturally-enriched multicultural society. That is, how murderously inclined are we as a people/culture compared to the aggregate of all the other peoples/cultures present here?

We can answer this by looking at how many times more likely is it that you, as a native Brit, are likely to be murdered by a non-Brit, in your own country, than a non-Brit is likely to be murdered by you?

To maintain proportionality with the actual murder number for Brits by non-Brits, we should have murdered 738 of them. In actual fact we murdered 8. So you are

738 (proportional number)/8 (actual number) = 92.25 times more likely to be murdered by a non-Brit than a non-Brit is likely to be murdered by you. Using the standard rule in mathematics (below .5, go to the next whole number down; .5 and above, go to the next whole number up),let’s call that a straight 92.

You are 92 times more likely to be murdered by a non-Brit, here in your own country, than a non-Brit is likely to be murdered by you.

Let’s approach it the other way around and see what the numbers tell us.

We murdered 8 of them. To maintain proportionality with relative numbers in the population, they should have murdered 8/6 = 1.33 (recurring) of us. They actually murdered 123 of us. So their rate of murdering us is 123/1.33 = 92.48 times our rate of murdering them (the slight difference is caused by the recurrence). Again, by the same mathematical rules, this comes out as a straight 92.

There doesn’t seem to be much doubt about it: non-Brits – in Britain – are murdering Brits at a rate 92 times higher than Brits are murdering non-Brits.

We can translate that number into a measure of the murderous inclinations of our people/culture as against the murderous inclinations of the aggregate of all the other people/cultures present here:

The aggregate of the other peoples/cultures present here is 92 times more murderously inclined than is our own people/culture.

Why are we letting them in? Is this what politicians and media mean by “Enrichment”? That is: our lives are now far more exciting due to the increased – and as more and more are entering the country at a rate of one a minute, increasing - risk of being murdered since we became multicultural? Therefore more enriched because more exciting?

Of course, this minor study takes no account of other crimes such as rape, paedophilia, grooming, robbery with violence (mugging), etc. Be nice if the authorities published nationality/race/culture statistics for all these other crimes …

I suppose it should be possible to pin down exactly which peoples/cultures are the really dangerous ones. After all, there are plenty of Germans, French, Dutch, Australians, Chinese, Hindu and Sikh Indians, etc here, but they don’t seem to be much in the news for murdering (etc) Brits. If that breakdown was done, then we could remove them from percentages of native Brits to non-Brits and that way get a truer (and far far higher) measure of which are the most murerously inclined peoples/cultures that are being allowed to settle amongst us, and prey on us.

Now then, I said my population percentage estimate was being generous to immigrants, and promised to explain why. Well, the higher the estimate for the percentage of non-Brits here, the lower the figure comes out for how murderously inclined their peoples/cultures are relative to ours. I’ll demonstrate:

I used the figures 86% - 14%, which meant there were 6 times more Brits than non-Brits. Suppose I had used the figures 90% - 10%, which is closer to what the multiculturalists claim in an effort to convince us there’s no immigration problem. Well, that would mean that there are 9 Brits here for every 1 non-Brit. So, to maintain proportionality relative to numbers, to be equally murderously inclined, Brits would have had to have murdered 123 x 9 = 1107 non-Brits in that two and a half years. Brits actually murdered 8, so non-Brits would be murdering Brits at 1107/8 = 138.375 times the rate at which Brits would be murdering non-Brits. Therefore the murderous inclination of the aggregate of the non-Brit people/cultures here in Britain would be 138 (mathematical rule) times worse than that of the native Brit people/culture.

So you see, when the multiculturalists try to allay our fears by claiming the percentage of non-Brits is lower, then in actual fact they are increasing our fears by telling us that these other cultures are even more murderously inclined than we already know they are.

Take care on your way home tonight.

Next post, within two or three weeks, will be an update on Muslim terror attacks worldwide.